From Reuters

Ethiopia should ensure private industry and business has sufficient access to finance in the state-dominated economy to keep growth rates up and shift from a heavy reliance on agriculture, the World Bank said.

The Horn of Africa nation with its strongly state-interventionist policies has one of the world’s fastest-growing economies. The government expects growth of 10% in the fiscal year ending in July, boosted by rising agricultural output.

Industry, however, accounts for only about 10% of gross domestic product, while major sectors of the economy such as banking and telecoms remain in state hands.

World Bank country director Guang Z Chen said Ethiopia should adjust policy to expand the private sector to meet a goal of middle-income status by 2025.

The bank has defined a middle-income nation as one with gross national income per capita of more than $1,025 a year and put Ethiopia’s at $370 in 2011.

"For this country to continue to grow, I strongly believe industry has to take a much bigger role because there is no other country that I’m aware of, aside from these resource-rich countries, that can go to middle-income status with still 50% of GDP on agriculture," he said.

"But unfortunately it (the industrial sector) has been rather stagnant, at about 10% of GDP," Mr Chen said.

State-supported energy and transport projects required financing equivalent to 19% of Ethiopia’s estimated $33bn annual national output in 2012, squeezing out private business, according to World Bank estimates.

Credit to the private sector was equivalent to 14% of GDP compared with a regional average of 23%, the bank says. "Making credit available for the private sector is certainly one area the government can do more on," Mr Chen said.

In the five years to July 2012, private consumption declined from 85% of GDP to 77%, bank figures show.

The total investment rate rose from 16.4% of GDP to 25.5% between 1987 and 2011, but the proportion of private investment fell in that period.

"The trend that worries us is that while the public investment as a share of GDP is increasing, the private investment as a share of GDP is decreasing," Mr Chen said, adding adjustments could made to the "interventionist model".

Ethiopia, Africa’s second-most populous nation after Nigeria, aims to expand the road network to 136,000km by 2015 from below 50,000km in 2010. It also plans to build 5,000km of railway lines by 2020.

Addis Ababa says it wants to tap the Brics (Brazil, China, India, Russia and South Africa) countries for investment.

Mr Chen said the nation’s transport and logistics would benefit from more a more competitive environment.

"Logistics is mostly controlled by state-owned sectors, that’s why we emphasise that there needs to be more competition," Mr Chen said. He said that competition could even be between state-owned enterprises.

Growth has been driven by an expansion in services and agriculture.

The main exports include coffee, horticultural products and livestock. Ethiopia is also a big aid recipient.