Democracies Rarely or Never Elect the Best Leaders (Live Science)

 The democratic process relies on the assumption that citizens (the majority of them, at least) can recognize the best political candidate, or best policy idea, when they see it. But a growing body of research has revealed an unfortunate aspect of the human psyche that would seem to disprove this notion, and imply instead that democratic elections produce mediocre leadership and policies. The research, led by David Dunning, a psychologist at Cornell University, shows that incompetent people are inherently unable to judge the competence of other people, or the quality of those people's ideas….as a result, no amount of information or facts about political candidates can override the inherent inability of many voters to accurately evaluate them. On top of that, "very smart ideas are going to be hard for people to adopt, because most people don’t have the sophistication to recognize how good an idea is," said Dunning. The thing is that people are self-delusional when it comes to their own intellectual skills. Whether the researchers are testing people's ability to rate the funniness of jokes, the correctness of grammar, or even their own performance in a game of chess people always assess their own performance as "above average" — even people who, when tested, actually perform at the very bottom of the pile. To the extent that people are incompetent they are worse judge of competence in other people.  But strangely though, people tend to readily and accurately agree on who the worst performers are, while failing to recognize the best performers….ignorant people may be the worst judges of candidates and ideas, but we all suffer from a degree of blindness stemming from our own personal lack of expertise. Mato Nagel, a sociologist in Germany, recently implemented these theories by computer-simulating a democratic election. In his mathematical model of the election, he assumed that voters' own leadership skills were distributed on a bell curve — some were really good leaders, some, really bad, but most were mediocre — and that each voter was incapable of recognizing the leadership skills of a political candidate as being better than his or her own. When such an election was simulated, candidates whose leadership skills were only slightly better than average always won. Nagel concluded that democracies rarely or never elect the best leaders. Their advantage over dictatorships or other forms of government is merely that they "effectively prevent lower-than-average candidates from becoming leaders."


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mgelay Sat, 03/10/2012 - 07:10

Waw! interesting and the best finding in social science stream

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